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NEW: Prediction Markets API

One REST API for all prediction markets data

Cost Function Market Maker

A cost function market maker is a type of automated system that prices outcome shares in a prediction market using a mathematical cost function. It ensures continuous liquidity and smooth price updates as traders buy or sell.
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A cost function market maker replaces the need for a traditional orderbook. Instead of matching buyers and sellers, it uses a formula that determines how prices change with each trade. When someone buys outcome shares, the cost function increases the market’s price in controlled steps, creating a predictable adjustment to probability.

This design keeps prediction markets active even with limited participation. Traders can always enter or exit positions because the system itself provides liquidity. As a result, price movements become smoother, more consistent, and easier to interpret.

Cost function market makers also help platforms manage volatility. By defining exactly how sensitive prices should be, they prevent sudden jumps caused by small trades. Over time, this produces cleaner prediction markets data and clearer forecasting signals for analysts.

Cost function market makers make prediction markets more reliable, liquid, and stable. They help produce high-quality prediction markets data and ensure that market probabilities reflect new information in real time.

Prediction markets use cost function market makers because they guarantee pricing without relying on constant trader activity. The formula handles liquidity automatically, giving users confidence that they can trade at any moment. This makes markets more accessible and predictable, especially for smaller communities. It also supports the production of structured prediction markets data that reflects steady, meaningful price adjustments. For many platforms, cost functions simplify market operations while improving forecast quality.

A cost function defines how much a trader must pay to shift the probability. Small trades cause small changes, while larger trades lead to more noticeable movement. The operator can tune sensitivity by adjusting key parameters in the formula. This control helps maintain orderly markets and prevents extreme volatility. Analysts benefit because the resulting prediction markets data is smoother and easier to analyze across events.

Cost function systems work well even when participation is low because they don’t depend on matching buyers with sellers. This eliminates empty orderbooks and keeps markets continuously active. Prices update consistently, making the forecasting signal easier to interpret. The approach also simplifies the technical side of running a prediction market. With cleaner price paths and guaranteed liquidity, the prediction markets data becomes more reliable for forecasting and research.

A platform launches a market on whether a new policy will pass this year. Using a cost function market maker, the price updates smoothly as traders buy or sell outcome shares. Even with moderate activity, the market produces a clear probability timeline that reflects how confidence shifts over time.

Cost function market makers generate continuous, structured price updates ideal for forecasting analysis. FinFeed's Prediction Markets API provides access to this prediction markets data, including real-time probabilities and historical price paths. Developers can use the API to study how cost function parameters shape market behavior and integrate these signals into dashboards or models.

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