Event Contract Lifecycle
In prediction markets, an event contract begins with market creation. This includes defining the event, possible outcomes, resolution rules, and timing. Once launched, the contract becomes tradable and starts generating prediction markets data.
During the active trading phase, prices and probabilities update as participants trade based on new information. Liquidity, volume, and confidence signals evolve as the event approaches resolution.
As the event concludes, the contract enters the resolution phase. Outcomes are verified using predefined sources, and final probabilities are locked in.
After resolution, the contract is settled and archived. The full lifecycle becomes part of historical prediction markets data, which analysts use for backtesting, forecast evaluation, and market design research.
Understanding the lifecycle helps explain why market behavior changes at different stages. Early markets tend to show higher uncertainty, while late-stage markets often converge as information becomes clearer.
Why It Matters
Each stage of the event contract lifecycle affects how prediction markets data should be interpreted. Knowing the lifecycle helps users analyze probabilities, confidence, and risk more accurately.
What is the event contract lifecycle in prediction markets?
In prediction markets, the event contract lifecycle covers creation, trading, resolution, and settlement. Each stage has different data characteristics and participant behavior. Early stages focus on information discovery, while later stages focus on confirmation. This progression shapes probability dynamics.
How does the event contract lifecycle affect prediction markets data?
Prediction markets data changes meaningfully across lifecycle stages. Volatility is often higher early on and decreases near resolution. Volume and confidence signals also shift as uncertainty declines. Analysts use lifecycle awareness to avoid misinterpreting normal stage-based behavior as anomalies.
Why is the event contract lifecycle important for prediction markets APIs?
Prediction markets APIs deliver data from contracts at different lifecycle stages. Understanding where a contract sits helps analysts apply correct models and expectations. Lifecycle context improves filtering, monitoring, and comparison across markets. APIs make lifecycle-aware analysis scalable.
Real-World Example
On Polymarket, an election market opens months before voting and trades actively as news develops. After results are confirmed, the contract resolves and settles, completing its lifecycle.
Event Contract Lifecycle and FinFeedAPI
FinFeedAPI’s Prediction Markets API provides access to prediction markets data across all stages of the event contract lifecycle. Analysts can track how probabilities, liquidity, and confidence evolve from launch to resolution. This supports lifecycle-based modeling, trend analysis, and historical evaluation. The API enables consistent monitoring of contract behavior across prediction markets.