Resolution Data
In prediction markets, forecasts remain provisional until an event is resolved. Resolution data captures the confirmed result based on predefined rules, data sources, or governance processes.
This data typically includes the winning outcome, resolution timestamp, and final market status. It marks the transition from active forecasting to completed record. Resolution data is critical for evaluating accuracy. It allows analysts to compare prediction markets data before resolution with what actually occurred. It also plays a key role in payouts, settlement logic, and historical analysis. Once resolution data is finalized, related probabilities and forecasts stop updating.
For analysts, resolution data anchors all retrospective work. It defines the ground truth used for calibration, backtesting, and performance measurement.
Why It Matters
Without resolution data, prediction markets cannot be evaluated. It provides the factual reference point needed to judge forecast quality and reliability.
What is resolution data in prediction markets?
In prediction markets, resolution data is the confirmed record of how an event ended. It specifies which outcome resolved as true and when. This data finalizes the market and enables payouts. It serves as the benchmark for forecast evaluation.
How is resolution data used in prediction markets data analysis?
Resolution data is used to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes. Analysts rely on it to measure accuracy, calibration, and bias. It also supports historical studies and model validation. Without resolution data, analysis remains incomplete.
Why is resolution data important for prediction markets APIs?
Prediction markets APIs expose resolution data so systems can detect when markets are finalized. This allows analysts to automate backtesting, settlement checks, and performance reporting. Resolution data also signals when probability streams should stop updating. APIs make this data accessible and machine-readable.
Real-World Example
On Kalshi, once an official economic release confirms the result, the market resolves and resolution data records the final value and timestamp.
Resolution Data and FinFeedAPI
FinFeedAPI’s Prediction Markets API provides structured resolution data alongside prediction markets data. Analysts can retrieve final outcomes, resolution times, and market status indicators. This supports accuracy analysis, forecast evaluation, and historical research. The API enables consistent use of resolution data across prediction markets.